How many Christians ?
Posted: Fri Sep 04, 2015 4:45 am
Here is a simple table, which has been computed with three hypotheses :
1- The sect began around 40 CE.
2 - The initial number of members was 40 or 100 persons.
3 - The increase rate was 40 % or 50 % every ten years.
Of course, each of these hypotheses can be disputed. We have no data, except what can be grasped in the gospels, and these data are certainly not reliable.
Date * 1.5 * 1.4 * 1.5
40 40 100 100
50 60 140 150
60 90 196 225
70 135 274 338
80 203 384 506
90 304 538 759
100 456 753 1139
110 683 1054 1709
120 1025 1476 2563
130 1538 2066 3844
140 2307 2893 5767
150 3460 4050 8650
160 5190 5669 12975
170 7785 7937 19462
This list shows that the number of Christians was very small during the first century, and began to be somewhat important around 150 CE.
Another remark : these Christians lived in the most important towns of the Roman Empire, Rome, Alexandria, Antioch, Ephesus, and perhaps Carthage. Their number in each of these towns could be 100 to 300 during the first century.
The famous letter of Pliny the Younger to Trajan, concerning some Christians of Bithynia-Pontus around 110 CE, could be appreciated more quietly. We are told that one of Pliny's main concerns was the vast number of Christians involved. Hem, hem.
1- The sect began around 40 CE.
2 - The initial number of members was 40 or 100 persons.
3 - The increase rate was 40 % or 50 % every ten years.
Of course, each of these hypotheses can be disputed. We have no data, except what can be grasped in the gospels, and these data are certainly not reliable.
Date * 1.5 * 1.4 * 1.5
40 40 100 100
50 60 140 150
60 90 196 225
70 135 274 338
80 203 384 506
90 304 538 759
100 456 753 1139
110 683 1054 1709
120 1025 1476 2563
130 1538 2066 3844
140 2307 2893 5767
150 3460 4050 8650
160 5190 5669 12975
170 7785 7937 19462
This list shows that the number of Christians was very small during the first century, and began to be somewhat important around 150 CE.
Another remark : these Christians lived in the most important towns of the Roman Empire, Rome, Alexandria, Antioch, Ephesus, and perhaps Carthage. Their number in each of these towns could be 100 to 300 during the first century.
The famous letter of Pliny the Younger to Trajan, concerning some Christians of Bithynia-Pontus around 110 CE, could be appreciated more quietly. We are told that one of Pliny's main concerns was the vast number of Christians involved. Hem, hem.