The idea that Josephus created literary figures has been voiced by Rachel Elior. Those forum members who were on FRDB will remember a thread at the time dealing with the controversy caused by Rachel Elior's idea that the Essenes did not exist.
Josephus, apart from stories about their life-style, mentions four Essenes by name: Judas, Menahem, Simon and John. The first three being given prophetic roles and the last one being a general. Josephus has placed these four figures in time-slots of significance to Hasmonean and Herodian history.
Judas the Essene predicted the death of Antigonus, brother of Aristobulus I. 104/103 b.c.e. Aristobulus dies within days and Alexander Jannaeus become ruler. - 70 years after Antiochus IV Epiphanes became the Seleucid king in 175 b.c.e.
Menahem the Essene predicted that Herod I would live 30 more years. Using 4 b.c. as year of death for Herod, this prophecy was made around 34 b.c.e.- 70 years from the prophecy of Judas the Essene.
Simon the Essene predicted that the vision/dream of Archelaus would bring about a change in his affairs but not for the better. Archelaus was removed in 6 c.e. - 70 years after the removal of Aristobulus II by Pompey in 63 b.c.e.
John the Essene was mentioned, as a general, by Josephus prior to Jotapata in 67 c.e. A time in which Josephus himself makes a prophetic prediction regarding Vespasian. - 70 years after the death of Herod I.
(all dating is approximate)
Rachel Elior has furthered her theory regarding the non-existence of the Essenes in her book of 2009. Unfortunately, in Hebrew. I have just noticed that amazon look to be having an English version in early 2018 - at a very hefty price. Perhaps with this English version of her book, Elior's Essene theory will get more exposure. Taking aim at sacred cows is always going to bring the critics running - but if research into early christian origins is ever to produce a more realistic appraisal of christian origins - then Josephus has to be put in the dock....
Memory and Oblivion: The Mystery of the Dead Sea Scrolls (Studia Judaica) Hardcover – 15 Jan 2018
by Rachel Elior (Author)
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Memory-Oblivio ... 3110262865
A blast from the past......
- I think that Philo invented the Essenes as an ideal society and Josephus was much influenced by him, and the fact that no Jewish source written in Hebrew or Aramaic before or after the Common Era knows anything about a group called Essenes or mentions any group known as celibates denouncing private property and family life raises severe questions about their historical existence in the Land of Israel.
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Dr. Vermes correctly notes that "a proper assessment of Professor Elior's ideas will have to wait until she backs them with scholarly argument in a forthcoming book".
However, as my Hebrew language book on the subject, "Zikaron uneshia : sodan shel megilot midbar yehudah (Memory and Oblivion: The Mystery of the Dead Sea Scrolls), has been published in March 2009, I hope that comments and criticisms will be based on an examination of its detailed arguments, and I would also refer interested persons to my previous remarks.
http://paleojudaica.blogspot.co.uk/2009 ... 0225035160
Tread softly because you tread on my dreams.
W.B. Yeats